During the evaluation of adversary capabilities, what should be identified first?

Identifying the current situation is crucial during the evaluation of adversary capabilities because it establishes the context in which all other elements are analyzed. Understanding the current situation involves assessing the landscape, including the strengths and weaknesses of both your own forces and those of the adversary, as well as the broader geopolitical and operational environment. This contextual understanding informs all subsequent evaluations of the adversary's capabilities, including determining decisive points and centers of gravity.

Once the current situation is clearly assessed, it is easier to identify decisive points that could significantly impact the operational outcome and the centers of gravity that are pivotal to the adversary's strategy. This foundational knowledge also aids in constructing relevant actor models, allowing for a more nuanced approach to anticipating and countering adversary actions.

Thus, starting with a clear evaluation of the current situation allows for informed and strategic analysis of all subsequent factors.